inflation, CPI and June
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Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was unexpectedly hot, showing a 0.3% increase month-over-month and a 2.7% rise year-over-year. In response, markets fell from recent highs. This is likely due to investors reassessing the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
While pundits looked with their magnifying glasses for tariffs in consumer goods prices, it was in services, which are not tariffed, where inflation took off again.
1don MSN
Inflation in June showed scattered signs of rising costs tied to the Trump tariffs, but Americans simply aren’t paying sharply higher prices because of U.S. trade wars. Here are four things we learned from the latest consumer-price index report.
Both the S&P 500 (.SPX) and Nasdaq (.IXIC) - and by extension, MSCI's world equities index (.MIWD00000PUS) - retreated from record peaks after traders shaved back bets of U.S. rate cuts this year as prices rose for things such as coffee and couches, while staying steady for tariff-exempted (for now) items such as cars.
U.S. Core CPI was lighter than expected for the fifth straight month as slowing services inflation helped to offset higher goods prices.
Services inflation, especially rent and shelter inflation, continued to decline, offsetting rising core goods inflation that may be influenced by tariffs, Steve Hou, a quant researcher at Bloomberg, said in a Tuesday post on X.
Tech led US stocks on Tuesday as a key consumer inflation print showed inflation accelerated in June, big banks kicked off earnings season, and Nvidia was set to receive a green light for trade with China from the Trump administration.
June’s U.S. CPI print showed that there is evidence of inflation pressures in the product categories that are most exposed to tariffs, said Parker Ross, global chief economist at Arch Capital Group. Household furnishings and supplies saw prices jump by 0.