Recent satellite imagery shows increased agitation across AR/IL/MO within this confluence zone. As better ascent approaches, storms may develop in the next 1-2 hours, though stratus suggests lingering capping may limit development until better ascent arrives.
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Recent satellite imagery shows increased agitation across AR/IL/MO within this confluence zone. As better ascent approaches, storms may develop in the next 1-2 hours, though stratus suggests lingering capping may limit development until better ascent arrives.
7.4K views3 weeks ago
x.comAndrew Shearer
Recent satellite trends have trended away from more agitated CUs across SW OK. Although the chances of CI are not completely gone, they are considerably lower than they were a few hours ago. On subtle forcing days like this, you ride a fine line between firing storms and nothing.
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Recent satellite trends have trended away from more agitated CUs across SW OK. Although the chances of CI are not completely gone, they are considerably lower than they were a few hours ago. On subtle forcing days like this, you ride a fine line between firing storms and nothing.
5.3K views1 month ago
x.comAndrew Shearer
1/ Today's severe weather event has multiple regions worth discussing. Most notable is the enhanced risk across the Midwest. However, recent observational and guidance trends suggest portions of the Southern Plains will likely see robust severe weather. What are these trends?
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1/ Today's severe weather event has multiple regions worth discussing. Most notable is the enhanced risk across the Midwest. However, recent observational and guidance trends suggest portions of the Southern Plains will likely see robust severe weather. What are these trends?
5.1K views1 month ago
x.comAndrew Shearer
3/ With the environment depicted by guidance, robust supercells are certainly possible along the warm front. However, there's a tremendous amount of uncertainty in the exact placement of these boundaries, as today's exact convective evolution remains uncertain.
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3/ With the environment depicted by guidance, robust supercells are certainly possible along the warm front. However, there's a tremendous amount of uncertainty in the exact placement of these boundaries, as today's exact convective evolution remains uncertain.
660 views3 weeks ago
x.comAndrew Shearer
11/ The timing of the cold front will considerably augment the main hazards/timing of severe weather for Tuesday. High uncertainty remains about the exact placement/evolution of the cold front, creating uncertainty about the hazards/mode that can be expected.
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11/ The timing of the cold front will considerably augment the main hazards/timing of severe weather for Tuesday. High uncertainty remains about the exact placement/evolution of the cold front, creating uncertainty about the hazards/mode that can be expected.
481 views2 weeks ago
x.comAndrew Shearer
1/ I'll have more detailed thoughts on Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday later today, but Monday and Tuesday likely warrant categorical upgrades in their risk categories based on recent model trends. Monday would be focused on the Midwest (although the southern mode shouldn't be ignored).
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1/ I'll have more detailed thoughts on Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday later today, but Monday and Tuesday likely warrant categorical upgrades in their risk categories based on recent model trends. Monday would be focused on the Midwest (although the southern mode shouldn't be ignored).
671 views1 month ago
x.comAndrew Shearer
Andrew Shearer (@andrew.shearer4)’s videos with original sound - Andrew Shearer
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オーストラリアへようこそ @takaichi_sanae 🇦🇺と🇯🇵は、この世界的なエネルギー危機に直面し、より強靭な経済を構築するため、パートナーシップを強化しています.これはオーストラリア人にとって、より多くの貿易と経済的機会を意味します.協力し合うことで、私たちはかつてないほど強くなっています.
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